About the Market
Is it true that the stock market is volatile and risky?
Yes, but for those who understand how human nature operates in the
market, volatility is welcome and the stock market is not as risky
as it looks to others. The risk in volatility is that a sharp
price decline may stimulate panicky selling due to fear of loss.
However, a true long-term investor scarcely ever is forced to
sell. He or she can afford, emotionally and financially, to wait
to sell at an opportune time. Stock market volatility creates
opportunities for the informed, unemotional investor to buy wisely
when prices fall sharply and to sell wisely when they advance a
great deal.
Why should one practice value investing instead of growth
investing?
Value investing has historically outperformed growth investing.
This seeming anomaly is due to 1) the fact that value investing
incorporates a margin of safety to minimize risk; and 2) growth
investing, with its pie-in-the-sky goals, often leads to large
losses. The comparison between value investing and growth
investing is often likened to the race between the tortoise and
the hare; in the end, it’s the slow, methodical approach that wins
the race.
What is your opinion on the current level of the stock market?
While we usually have personal opinions on the current valuation
of the stock market at large, we feel that they are irrelevant, as
we focus on the valuation of individual companies.
What could happen to my account at CVM in the event of a stock market crash?
In the recent past, stock market participants experienced two periods of severe declines in stock prices.
- In the sharp but short “crash” of the stock market in 1998, the S&P 500 Index fell 19.1% from July 17 through October 8, 1998. During the same period the CVM Composite was down 10.9%.
- In the extended market decline of 2000-2002, the S&P 500 Index lost 43.8% from March 31, 2000 through September 30, 2002, a period of 2½ years. The annualized rate of decline was 20.8% for the S&P 500. During the same period the CVM Composite gained 16.1%.
While past performance is no guarantee of future results, and one ought not to generalize from just two examples, it does appears from the foregoing that value-oriented investing dampens shorter-term declines and can lead to positive longer-term returns during an extended market decline.
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